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CI

CONNS INC (CONN)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY24 results were generally in line with internal expectations but reflected ongoing macro headwinds: total revenues fell 16.3% YoY to $284.6M and the company posted a net loss of $35.4M (−$1.47 diluted EPS) versus +$0.25 a year ago .
  • Retail trends were soft: same-store sales declined 20.1%, while retail gross margin contracted 100 bps to 33.5% on deleverage and higher freight; however, eCommerce delivered a 24.6% increase to a Q1 record $22.7M, and credit applications rose 9.7% YoY, the first growth in 16 months .
  • Credit remained a pressure point with provision for bad debts up to $28.9M on higher net charge-offs; credit revenues declined 8.2% YoY to $61.8M and the credit segment posted a slight operating loss .
  • Management launched an in-house lease-to-own (LTO) offering and highlighted improving sales trends in in-house and LTO segments; carrying value of re‑aged accounts decreased to $155.1M from $167.1M, indicating early portfolio stabilization efforts .
  • No formal guidance was provided. Near-term stock reaction catalysts include traction from in-house LTO, stabilization in delinquency/charge-offs, and sustained eCommerce growth versus continued discretionary demand weakness and funding costs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • eCommerce outperformed: sales rose 24.6% to a Q1 record $22.7M, aided by last year’s platform conversion and application process enhancements .
    • Demand funnel improving: credit applications increased 9.7% YoY—first growth in 16 months—supporting future sales capacity; management said these efforts “are improving sales trends within our in-house and lease-to-own segments” .
    • Credit quality actions: carrying value of re‑aged accounts declined to $155.1M (from $167.1M), and carrying value of re‑aged >6 months dropped to $29.7M vs. $42.2M YoY, reflecting portfolio cleanup efforts .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Core top-line softness: same-store sales fell 20.1% and total retail revenues declined 17.8% YoY on lower discretionary spend for home-related products .
    • Margin deleverage: retail gross margin fell 100 bps to 33.5% on fixed distribution cost deleverage and higher freight, partially offset by mix; retail segment operating loss widened to $19.7M .
    • Credit headwinds: provision for bad debts doubled YoY to $28.9M due to higher net charge-offs; the credit segment swung to a small operating loss as credit revenues fell 8.2% .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Total Revenues ($M)$321.2 $334.9 $284.6
Net (Loss) Income ($M)$(24.8) $(42.8) $(35.4)
Diluted EPS$(1.04) $(1.79) $(1.47)
Adjusted Diluted EPS$(0.78) $(1.53) $(1.52)
Retail Revenues ($M)$254.6 $270.8 $224.0
Credit Revenues ($M)$66.6 $64.1 $61.8
Margins and ProfitabilityQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Retail Gross Margin %33.2% 33.7% 33.5%
Retail Operating Margin %(7.0)% (7.2)% (8.8)%
Credit Operating Margin %(0.4)% (21.7)% (1.3)%
Provision for Bad Debts ($M)$35.1 $44.1 $28.9
Interest Expense ($M)$11.5 $13.1 $16.4
Segment Operating Income (Loss) ($M)Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Retail Segment Op Inc (Loss)$(17.7) $(19.5) $(19.7)
Credit Segment Op Inc (Loss)$(0.3) $(13.9) $(0.8)
Retail Mix (Q1 FY24 only)$% of Total
Furniture & Mattress$76.4M 34.2%
Home Appliance$82.3M 36.8%
Consumer Electronics$25.6M 11.5%
Home Office$7.6M 3.4%
Other$12.5M 5.5%
RSA Commissions$16.9M 7.6%
Service Revenues$2.2M 1.0%
KPIsQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Same-Store Sales %(27.0)% (21.8)% (20.1)%
eCommerce Sales ($M)$24.2 $22.7
Total Applications Processed231,526 278,249 293,831
% Approved & Utilized23.8% 22.9% 19.5%
Weighted Avg Origination Credit Score621 620 618
60+ Day Delinquency % (Portfolio)12.2% 12.7% 11.6%
Re-aged % of Portfolio16.5% 16.5% 16.6%
Re-aged >6 Months ($M)$31.5 $29.5 $29.7
In-house Financing as % of Retail Sales54.0% 56.8% 59.1%

Notes: Management also reported the carrying value of re‑aged accounts declined to $155.1M from $167.1M YoY .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Company GuidanceFY24 / Q2 FY24Not providedNot providedNo formal guidance given

No explicit revenue, margin, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or segment guidance ranges were included in the Q1 FY24 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We attempted to retrieve the Q1 FY24 earnings call transcript but it was inaccessible due to a source database inconsistency, so themes are drawn from management’s prepared remarks within press releases for Q3–Q1. Q&A details unavailable.

TopicQ3 FY23 (Prior-2)Q4 FY23 (Prior-1)Q1 FY24 (Current)Trend
Macro/Discretionary DemandHighlighted macro headwinds and lower lease-to-own sales impacting SSS (−27%) Continued demand pressure; SSS −21.8% Challenging macro persists; SSS −20.1% Still pressured but comps ease sequentially
eCommerce/Unified CommerceFocus on accelerating eCommerce as unified commerce retailer Completed platform conversion; record eCommerce quarter/year eCommerce +24.6% to Q1 record; further application enhancements Strengthening
Credit Portfolio/DelinquenciesCredit spread 980 bps; portfolio cleanup ongoing Provision increased; re‑aged >6 months improved YoY Provision elevated; 60+ at 11.6%; re‑aged % ~flat; re‑aged CV down Mixed; some stabilization
In-house Lease-to-Own (LTO)Planned launch noted as strategic priority Began originating first in-house LTO transactions Launched; improving sales trends in in-house and LTO Positive early traction
Cost DisciplineSG&A actions cited Continued cost control; retail SG&A % elevated on deleverage Retail SG&A dollars down slightly YoY; deleverage persists Neutral—benefits offset by deleverage
Store StrategyNew stores and Belk store-within-a-store tests 4 openings, 1 closure; plan 11 openings in FY24 3 openings in Q1; plan 11 standalone in FY24 Steady expansion focus

Management Commentary

  • “Our first quarter results were generally in-line with our expectations and reflect a challenging macroeconomic environment.”
  • “eCommerce sales increased 24.6% during the first quarter. We also launched our new in-house lease-to-own offering... [which] gives us increasing confidence that the strategies we are pursuing will return the Company to growth and profitability.”
  • On strategic priorities in prior quarters: “Refocusing our efforts on serving our core credit constrained customers” and “launch of an in-house lease-to-own offering” .

Q&A Highlights

We attempted to read the full Q1 FY24 earnings call transcript (two indexed entries), but the source returned a database error, and the transcript could not be retrieved. As a result, Q&A highlights and any call-time guidance clarifications are unavailable from our document set at this time. We will update this section if the transcript becomes accessible.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 FY24 revenue and EPS could not be retrieved due to a missing mapping for CONN in the S&P Global integration, so we cannot quantify beats/misses relative to consensus at this time. If needed, we can refresh once the mapping is available.
  • Reported results: revenues $284.6M and diluted EPS −$1.47; adjusted EPS −$1.52 .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Demand remains weak in home-related categories, but sequential comp pressure is easing and eCommerce momentum is notable (+24.6%); monitor whether application growth (+9.7%) converts to improved ticket and traffic into 2H FY24 .
  • Credit normalization continues to weigh on profitability (provision $28.9M), but delinquency and re‑aged metrics show signs of stabilization; sustained declines in re‑aged balances would be a constructive signal .
  • In-house LTO is an important swing factor: early traction could broaden approval/penetration and support revenue recapture without outsized portfolio risk if underwriting and collections discipline hold .
  • Margin upside depends on volume recovery to re-leverage fixed distribution costs and continued freight normalization; track retail gross margin progression from 33.5% as a key indicator .
  • Funding costs are rising (interest expense $16.4M in Q1), so capital structure and ABS market access remain critical; watch liquidity headroom and term loan covenants .
  • Near-term trading setup hinges on evidence of comp stabilization, improved credit loss trends, and LTO scaling; absence of formal guidance elevates the importance of monthly KPIs and intra-quarter commentary .

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